The People’s Risk Desk

See The Risk.
Find Your Edge.

Understand the market. Put your portfolio in context. Daily research, company scores, and a clearer view of what you own—all in one connected desk.

Real research. No account needed to explore.

Inside Your Research Desk01 / Market Context
The Market At A GlanceU.S. Markets
Published Snapshot
Market Health / EMPAwaiting Published Data
Recession Probability
Active Tripwires

Start with the environment. Then put individual companies in context.

Reading Publication SnapshotExplore The Desk ↗

A published reading of market conditions. Explore both views.

01
Understand The MarketStart With The Daily Brief
02
Know What You OwnExplore Your Portfolio Scorecard
03
Build Your UnderstandingOpen The Learning Desk
Try The Research Before You JoinExplore The Desk ↓

A Better Question.
A Clearer Picture.

What’s happening? What do I own? What does it mean? Turn the questions you already have into a connected research habit.

The Daily Brief

From The Big Picture
To A Single Name.

See the market environment, follow sector leadership, and explore the companies behind it. Research that connects the dots for you.

  • Market regime and recession risk
  • Sector, theme, and company research
  • Signals with their risks in view
Open A Real Daily Brief A complete public sample. No account required.
Company ResearchPublic Sample
Try A Company You Know
Try:
Company Snapshot

Explore A Published Score

Model Score / 100
Research Theme
Published Trend

Choose a company to inspect its archived research.

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Historical research, not a current quote or a recommendation. A model score is not an expected return.

Your Seat At The DeskIndependent Research. Shared Openly.

Your Research Habit.
Your Seat At The Desk.

Start with the free research. Choose a membership when you’re ready for the full view.

Standby

Stay In The Picture.

$0/ free
  • Monthly Market Update by email
  • Public sample Daily Brief
  • Free Portfolio Scorecard grade
Join Free

No card required.

Signal

Read The Daily Desk.

$14.99/ month
  • Interactive web Daily Brief every trading day
  • Regime, sectors, scores, and risk
  • Market Update email on the 1st, 3rd, and 5th Mondays
Explore Signal

Annual membership also available.

CommandThe Full Desk

Connect The Whole Picture.

$19.99/ month
  • Everything in Signal
  • Full Portfolio Scorecard
  • Call Options and Crypto Radar
  • Weekly Market Update by email
Explore Command Membership

Review current trial and billing terms at signup.

Market Updates follow the published tier schedule; market holidays may shift delivery. Compare Every Feature And Current Terms ↗

The EvidenceForward-Published Model Record

Conviction Starts
With Transparency.

A polished chart is not enough. Inspect the dated model record—including winning calls, losing calls, and the days our process made no call.

Inspect The Full Track Record How We Test New Ideas ↗
The Discipline To Do Nothing
of recorded runs
made NO CALL.

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Forward Record BeganMay 22, 2026
Record Snapshot

Model research, not subscriber returns. A forward-published record is distinct from both a historical backtest and a brokerage account.

The Historical PerspectiveRetrospective Research

Put The Models
In Perspective.

Two lenses. Four revealing episodes. Explore the warnings, the missed shock, and the false alarm together.

Reconstructed Monthly Readings

Reading The Historical Evidence

Loading the research snapshot…

Recession ProbabilityEstimated recession risk over the next 12 months. Market Health / EMPEconomic and market conditions on a 0–100 scale. Higher means healthier.

Historical reconstruction, not forecasts published at the time.

Inspect The History
Recession Probability
Market Health / EMP

EMP historical input coverage varies by month.

How To Read This Research

Reconstruction, Not A Live Track Record. Recession probability applies fixed model coefficients fitted through June 2025 to the historical input panel. These curves include training-period observations; they are not walk-forward, out-of-sample forecasts. Publication lags in the source do not establish that every data value was available in its current form at the time.

Two Scales, Two Questions. Recession probability is a percentage; EMP is a normalized market-health score. The dotted 50% line is a reference, not a trading rule. The EMP series uses the archived normalized score column, not the current live engine; the historical model version differs from other archived website illustrations. Missing inputs and later data revisions limit comparability; monthly coverage is shown above.

No Performance Claim. These panels do not show investment returns, market-timing accuracy, or losses avoided. Selected episodes illustrate both useful warnings and limitations; they are not a complete evaluation. Snapshot prepared September 7, 2026 from the local research files.

Explore The Research Framework ↗

Historical reconstruction · Includes model-fitting history and revised data · Not actual investor results

The Intelligence ChainContext Before Conviction

From Context To Conviction.

One connected process. Read the environment, frame the exposure, examine the names, and apply the discipline.

01 Economy

Read The Environment.

Economic conditions, market stress, and recession risk establish the market regime.

Understand The Regime ↗
03 Selection

Scan For Strength.

Score the universe. Follow sector and theme leadership. See what is improving—and what is tiring.

Try The Scorecard ↗
04 Discipline

Apply The Discipline.

Selection and risk rules turn a broad screen into a focused, accountable model record.

Inspect The Record ↗
Why We Built It
Built By People Who Use The Research.

An engineer and a CPA built Cliff Radar Capital around a simple conviction: individual investors deserve a more complete view of risk. Our answer is a connected research system, a transparent record, and the discipline to keep questioning both.

Meet Cliff Radar Capital ↗
Beyond The Daily Read

A Wider Field Of Vision.

Follow a question further with specialist research and a transparent selection framework.

Published Research Coverage
names scored · published snapshot
themes tracked · published snapshot

One connected system.
From the economy to the individual name.

Your Next Research Habit Starts Here

Make Room For
A Clearer Perspective.

Explore the research. Bring your questions.
Decide whether this is the desk for you.

No account needed to explore the public sample.